Skip to main content

The Digital Acceleration Nobody Asked For

COVID forced five years of digital transformation into five months. Some of it is real. A lot of it is panic-buying dressed up as strategy.
5 June 2020·7 min read
Isaac Rolfe
Isaac Rolfe
Managing Director
In January, I sat in a boardroom with a client who told me their digital transformation roadmap was a "three to five year journey." By April, they'd compressed it into six weeks. Not because they suddenly believed in digital transformation. Because they had no choice. Their physical operations stopped. Their customers went online. Their staff went home. The three-to-five-year journey became a survival sprint.

What You Need to Know

  • COVID compressed years of digital adoption into months across NZ enterprise
  • Not all of this acceleration is genuine transformation. Much of it is tactical survival.
  • The organisations that had digital foundations before COVID are pulling ahead
  • The biggest risk now is mistaking tool adoption for real capability change

The Compression

Here's what happened, as best I can tell from our client base and the broader NZ market: organisations that had been slowly, cautiously, often reluctantly moving towards digital operations were forced to move at speed. Not because they wanted to. Because the alternative was shutting down.
10x
increase in Microsoft Teams daily active users, from 32M to 75M, in the six weeks following COVID lockdowns globally
Source: Microsoft, April 2020
The numbers are staggering. Video conferencing usage exploded. Cloud adoption jumped. E-commerce for traditionally offline businesses went from "we should probably do that" to "this is now our only revenue channel."
But adoption isn't transformation. Installing Zoom isn't digital maturity. Spinning up a Shopify store in a weekend isn't a digital strategy. These are tactical responses to an immediate crisis, and confusing them with genuine transformation is dangerous.

Real vs Panic

I'm seeing two distinct patterns in the NZ enterprise market right now.

Pattern One: Accelerated Foundations

Some organisations had already invested in digital foundations. They had cloud infrastructure. They had remote-capable processes. They had digital literacy in their teams. COVID didn't change their direction. It accelerated it. They moved from "we can work remotely sometimes" to "we work remotely by default" without fundamental restructuring.
These organisations are pulling ahead. Their competitors are scrambling to build basics while they're optimising. The gap is widening, not closing.

Pattern Two: Emergency Adoption

Other organisations went from zero to "we use Microsoft Teams now" in a week. They bought tools. They spun up portals. They digitised forms by turning PDFs into online PDFs. The activity looks like transformation from the outside. From the inside, it's duct tape.
Buying tools is not transformation. You've just made it faster to produce bad outcomes.
Isaac Rolfe
Managing Director
The emergency adopters will face a reckoning when the crisis eases. They'll have a stack of tools they adopted under pressure, without strategy, without integration, without training. The SaaS bills will arrive. The shelfware will accumulate. The "we'll figure out the process later" will come due.

What's Actually Changed

Not everything is hype. Some genuine shifts are happening that will outlast the pandemic.

Remote Work Is Permanent

Not for everyone. Not for every role. But the argument that enterprise professionals need to be in an office five days a week is dead. Organisations have proven, under the worst possible conditions, that remote work functions. The genie doesn't go back in the bottle.
78%
of NZ knowledge workers want to continue remote working at least part-time post-COVID
Source: Workplace Wellbeing Survey, Southern Cross / BusinessNZ, 2020

Customer Expectations Have Shifted

Customers who were forced online are staying online. They've experienced what digital-first service feels like. They won't tolerate being told to print a form, sign it, scan it, and email it back. Organisations that revert to pre-COVID customer processes will lose to those that keep the digital experience.

Speed of Decision-Making

This is the one I find most interesting. Enterprise organisations that took months to approve technology decisions made those same decisions in days during COVID. The bureaucracy was suspended because the urgency was real.
Some of that speed will revert. But organisations that experienced faster decision-making may not tolerate the old pace. The appetite for twelve-month procurement cycles is weaker than it was in January.

The Hard Questions

Here's what I'd ask any enterprise leader right now:
Which of your COVID-era digital investments were strategic, and which were survival? Be honest. The survival ones need evaluation before they become permanent costs.
What did you learn about your organisation's actual digital capability? COVID was a stress test. Some organisations discovered hidden strengths. Others discovered that their digital foundations were thinner than they thought.
Are you building on what you started, or waiting to go back to normal? Normal is gone. The organisations that treat the last three months as a blip will lose ground to those that treat it as a new baseline.

The NZ Angle

New Zealand has something going for it here. We're a small market. Decision-making chains are shorter. The gap between "we should do this" and "we're doing this" is narrower than in larger markets. Our early success with COVID containment gives organisations breathing room to plan rather than purely react.
But we're also a market that's historically conservative with technology adoption. Enterprise NZ tends to follow rather than lead. The organisations that break from that pattern now, that invest in genuine digital capability rather than tool accumulation, will define the next decade.
The acceleration nobody asked for might turn out to be the best thing that happened to NZ enterprise technology. But only if we're honest about the difference between what's real and what's just moving fast.